Breaking down the next two weeks in systems.
May 16th Showers break out across central KS. System should track to the NE.
May 18th Heavy showers and thunderstorms develop in central OK into AR. This will bring rain chances to the local area. Up to 5 inches of rain possible. System will exit on the 22nd.
May 24th Showers and storms break out in western OK and work east. The main event will remain to the south of us however up to 1 inch of rain could be possible from the start of the system.
Graphic Below is estimated total precip from May 12 through May 28th