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Discussion 12/06/2023 1:30 PM

Today will be another sunny day with high temperatures in the mid 50s. Winds will be out of the south-southwest around 10 to 15 mph. As for tonight, southwesterly winds start to increase over western Missouri. Expect gusts around 20 to 25 mph. Increasing cloud cover. Lows will be in the lower 40s.

Thursday: The area will be sandwiched between a digging mid-level trough over the Rockies and a building ridge over the southeastern CONUS on Thursday. Thus, A low level jet forms over western Missouri and will bring gusty southwesterly winds for areas west of Highway 65. 40 - 45 mph wind gusts occurring from Nevada down to Joplin. Models show the winds starting to mix down to the surface in the morning hours on Thursday. Strongest wind gusts will occur by Thursday afternoon and then will finally start to diminish after midnight.

A Wind Advisory continues to look likely for those areas west of Highway 65 for Thursday. Along with gusty winds, Thursday appears to be the warmest day of the week with highs 10 degrees above average for this time of year reaching the mid 60s.

Friday-Sunday: Latest model guidance has sped up the timing of the trough. Have decided to push up the timing of the precipitation for this weekend. Now have a slight chance (15-20%) of rain beginning around noon on Friday. Rain will continue to push east and persist through Sunday morning. Thunderstorms are still possible overnight Friday into Saturday. Moved up the ending time for precip to occur around sunrise Sunday. Widespread rain is likely with amounts ranging from half to 0.75". There is still a possibility to see a few snowflakes very early on Sunday morning as precipitation is

ending west to east on the backside of the cold front. If mixed precip is to occur, ground temperatures are still too warm for any accumulations.

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