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Discussion 12/15/2023 2:00 PM

Tonight through Saturday: A secondary upper level wave in the northern stream will dive southeast into the plains tonight and into the forecast area on Saturday. It should push the majority of the rainfall to the east of the area by midday Saturday with drier and colder air moving in behind the upper level wave. Models suggest rainfall amounts should remain below a half inch. Lows tonight will dip into the low to mid 40s. Highs on Saturday will not rise very much with readings in the upper 40s to low 50s.

The upper wave will shift east of the area on Saturday night with northwest flow developing over the area. Temperatures on Sunday should make it back into the low to mid 50s.

Monday will be much cooler in the upper 30s to mid 40s. Afternoon humidity levels will dip into the 20s and 30s with some gusty winds of 20 mph, so we`ll get some elevated fire weather conditions for Monday afternoon.

By Monday night, the surface ridge will move directly overhead and temperatures will likely dip back into the teens to mid 20s for lows. The surface ridge will shift east of the area on Tuesday and may see some gusty south winds developing behind the high, which will lead to another afternoon of elevated fire weather conditions as humidity levels will again dip into the 20s and 30s. High temperatures should rise back into above

normal territory which will continue into Thursday as upper level ridging and low level warm advection set up over the area.

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