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RAG Fire WX 02/08/24 7:00 AM

Short term concerns center around strong winds and very dry air (wildfire potential) today, with the main area for these threats being over western and northern portions of the area.

A strong low pressure system currently over northern Nebraska will bring a tightening pressure gradient today, resulting in SW-SSW winds of 20-30 mph gusting to 35-45 mph. Strongest winds are expected along and north of I-44. A Wind Advisory is in effect for these areas. Clouds will quickly clear from west to east late this morning and afternoon, allowing for greater mixing. Temperatures will top out in the upper 60s to around 70. Went on the lower end of guidance for dewpoints today, which results in minimum RH values of 20-30% mainly west of Highway 65 and also through the Lake of the Ozarks region. The dry air combined with gusty winds will lead to very high to extreme Grassland Fire Danger Index values in areas covered by the Red Flag Warning. Fuel moisture in wooded areas is greater, but fire potential will still be a concern today. The southeastern portions of the CWA will see greater moisture.

Could see some sprinkles briefly this morning, but not enough to provide any notable wetting of grasses/fuels. Most areas should stay completely dry. Winds diminish to 5-15 mph tonight before picking back up Friday at 15-25 mph gusting to 20-30 mph.

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